QCP: 긍정적인 소식이 있으면 USD 롱 포지션을 대량으로 청산해야 할 수 있으며, 잠재적으로 위험 자산이 더 높아질 수 있습니다. 오늘 밤의 CPI 발표는 DXY의 급격한 하락을 촉발하는 촉매가 될 수 있습니다. 여러 지표에 걸쳐 월가에서 공황의 징후는 보이지 않습니다. 여전히 암호화폐 롱 포지션을 유지하고 있는 참여자의 경우 기관의 흐름을 따라가고 하락 보호를 매수하는 것이 가장 좋은 전략일 수 있습니다.
https://t.me/QCPbroadcast/1408
QCP Asia Colour – 12 February 25
Boringggg! That's how markets have been for the past two weeks. Despite the back-and-forth tariff action between the U.S., Canada, and Mexico—along with the imposition of tariffs on China and U.S. steel and aluminum imports—traditional finance (TradFi) markets have been unable to find a clear direction.
Across multiple metrics, we see no signs of panic on Wall Street. Credit yields remain at cycle lows, and credit spreads between investment-grade and junk bonds have not widened. The VIX appears anchored at 16, suggesting market participants have already bought protection against any further negative news.
Powell's testimony before the Senate reinforced the Fed's stance of adopting a "wait-and-see" approach to rate cuts, alluding to a potentially slower pace of cuts in 2025. Yet, despite this hawkish tone, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) failed to rally.
Referencing CFTC data, we infer that the market is heavily long on the dollar. Interest rate differentials also…
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